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Expected Future of Water resources within Tigris–Euphrates Rivers basin, Iraq

机译:伊拉克底格里斯河上游地区水资源的预期未来

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摘要

Iraq is one of the riparian countries within basins of Tigris-Euphrates Rivers in the Middle East region. The region is currently facing water shortage problems due to the increase of the demand and climate changes. In the present study, average monthly water flow measurements for 15 stream flow gaging stations within basins of these rivers in Iraq with population growth rate data in some of its part were used to evaluate the reality of the current situation and future challenges of water availability and demand in Iraq. The results showed that Iraq receives annually 70.92 km3 of water 45.4 and 25.52 km3 from River Tigris and Euphrates respectively. An amount of 18.04 km3 of the Tigris water comes from Turkey while 27.36 km3 is supplied by its tributaries inside Iraq. The whole amount of water in the Euphrates Rivers comes outside the Iraqi borders. Annual decrease of the water inflow is 0.1335 km3 year-1 for Tigris and 0.245 km3 year-1 for Euphrates. This implies the annual percentage reduction of inflow rates for the two rivers is 0.294% and 0.960% respectively. Iraq consumes annually 88.89% (63.05 km3) of incoming water from the two rivers, where about 60.43 and 39.57 % are from Rivers Tigris and Euphrates respectively. Water demand increases annually by 1.002 km3; of which 0.5271 km3 and 0.475 km3 within Tigris and Euphrates basins respectively. The average water demand in 2020 will increase to 42.844 km3 year-1 for Tigris basin and for Euphrates 29.225 km3 year-1 (total 72.069 km3 year-1), while water availability will decrease to 63.46 km3 year-1. This means that the overall water shortage will be restricted to 8.61 km3.
机译:伊拉克是中东地区底格里斯-欧珀拉特斯河流域内的河岸国家之一。由于需求增加和气候变化,该地区目前面临缺水问题。在本研究中,使用伊拉克这些河流流域内15个流量测量站的平均每月水流量测量以及部分人口增长率数据,来评估当前形势的现实性和未来水资源可用性和挑战。伊拉克的需求。结果表明,伊拉克每年分别从底格里斯河和幼发拉底河得到70.92 km3的水45.4和25.52 km3。底格里斯河有18.04 km3的水来自土耳其,而伊拉克境内的支流则提供27.36 km3。幼发拉底河中的全部水都在伊拉克边界之外。底格里斯河第1年的入水量每年减少0.1335平方公里,幼发拉底河的第1年的水量每年减少0.245平方公里。这意味着两条河流的入流率每年减少的百分比分别为0.294%和0.960%。伊拉克每年从两条河流中消耗88.89%(63.05 km3)的进水,其中约60.43%和39.57%分别来自底格里斯河和幼发拉底河。需水量每年增加1.002 km3。其中底格里斯河和幼发拉底河盆地分别为0.5271 km3和0.475 km3。底格里斯河流域和幼发拉底河2020年的平均需水量将增加到1年的42.844 km3,幼发拉底河1年的总量为29.225 km3(一年的总量为72.069 km3),而水的可用量将减少到63.46 km3的一年。这意味着总的水资源短缺将被限制在8.61 km3。

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